Decisiones gerenciales en la gestión pública con enfoque matemático
Resumen
La investigación analiza cómo las decisiones gerenciales fundamentadas en modelos matemáticos influyen en la eficiencia operativa de la gestión pública en Ecuador. La metodología se basa en un modelo de optimización estocástica contextual (CSO) aplicado a procesos institucionales relacionados con la asignación de recursos y la planificación. Se emplearon ecuaciones estructurales y simulaciones cuantitativas para evaluar las relaciones entre las variables consideradas en el modelo, asegurando la validez empírica de los resultados. Los hallazgos indican que las variables analizadas son estadísticamente significativas, evidenciando la robustez del modelo y su capacidad para mejorar la eficiencia operativa. La influencia de los factores administrativos varía según la región (β = 0.35). El estudio sugiere que la incorporación de modelos matemáticos en la toma de decisiones públicas permite un análisis sistemático que contribuye a optimizar la eficiencia operativa, fortalecer la gobernanza y orientar políticas basadas en evidencia cuantitativa.
Citas
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Villalonga, B. (2004). Diversification discount or premium? The Journal of Finance, 59(2), 479–501. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00671.x
Wuyts, S., Dutta, S., & Stremersch, S. (2004). Portfolios of interfirm agreements in technology-intensive markets: Consequences for innovation and profitability. Journal Of Marketing, 68(2), 88–100. https://doi.org/10.1509/jmkg.68.2.88.27787
Yi, S., & Komatsu, Y. (2010). Investigation of the maintenance condition in public facilities focus on comparison of the municipalities in Tokyo. Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering, 9(1). https://waseda.elsevierpure.com/en/publications/investigation-of-the-maintenance-condition-in-public-facilities-f/
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Zhu, Z., Zhang, J., & Ye, Y. (2013). Newsvendor optimization with limited distribution information. Optimization methods & software, 28(3), 640–667. https://doi.org/10.1080/10556788.2013.768994
Ros, J. A. (2006). Análisis de roles de trabajo en equipo: Un enfoque centrado en comportamientos [Tesis doctoral, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. Repositorio Institucional]. https://www.tdx.cat/bitstream/handle/10803/5449/jarg1de1.pdf
Almenara, J. C., & Osuna, J. B. (2013). La utilización del juicio de experto para la evaluación de TIC: El coeficiente de competencia experta. Bordón Revista de Pedagogía, 65(2), 25–38. https://doi.org/10.13042/brp.2013.65202
Andrade Domínguez, F. J., Alarcón Gavilanes, J. C., Ortega Haro, X. F., & González Márquez, J. L. (2024). Teoría general de sistemas: Un enfoque estratégico para la planificación institucional. Revista Venezolana de Gerencia, 29(105), 388–400. https://doi.org/10.52080/rvgluz.29.105.24
Bazier-Matte, T., & Delage, E. (2020). Generalization bounds for regularized portfolio selection with market side information. INFOR Information Systems And Operational Research, 58(2), 374–401. https://doi.org/10.1080/03155986.2020.1730675
Benfeddoul, S., & Taib, A. A. (2024). Cross-sectional patterns in Moroccan stock returns: A Fama-French perspective. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 14(6), 182–194. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.17032
Bertsimas, D., Dunn, J., & Mundru, N. (2019). Optimal prescriptive trees. INFORMS Journal On Optimization, 1(2), 164–183. https://doi.org/10.1287/ijoo.2018.0005
Díaz, R., & Libaque, C. F. (2020). The influence of digital transformation of the Peruvian public sector on citizen trust. Proceedings of the 26th Americas Conference on Information Systems (AMCIS 2020). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/343712189_The_Influence_of_Digital_Transformation_of_the_Peruvian_Public_Sector_on_Citizen_Trust
Esteban-Pérez, A., & Morales, J. M. (2022). Distributionally robust stochastic programs with side information based on trimmings. Mathematical Programming, 195(1–2), 1069–1105. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-021-01724-0
Esteban-Pérez, A., & Morales, J. M. (2023). Distributionally robust optimal power flow with contextual information. European Journal of Operational Research, 306(3), 1047–1058. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2022.10.024
Gabrel, V., Murat, C., & Thiele, A. (2013). Recent advances in robust optimization: An overview. Optimization Online. http://www.optimization-online.org/DB_FILE/2012/07/3537.pdf
Habibi, M. A., Ulman, M., Baha, B., & Stočes, M. (2017). Measurement and statistical analysis of end user satisfaction with mobile network coverage in Afghanistan. Agris On-line Papers In Economics And Informatics, 8(2), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.7160/aol.2017.090204
Kim, S., & Lee, J. (2012). E-participation, transparency, and trust in local government. Public Administration Review, 72(6), 819–828. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2012.02593.x
Petruzzi, N. C., & Dada, M. (1999). Pricing and the newsvendor problem: A review with extensions. Operations Research, 47(2), 183–194. https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/10.1287/opre.47.2.183
Raz, G., & Porteus, E. L. (2006). A fractiles perspective to the joint price/quantity newsvendor model. Management Science, 52(11), 1764–1777. https://www.jstor.org/stable/20110647
Ryu, K., & Han, H. (2009). Influence of the quality of food, service, and physical environment on customer satisfaction and behavioral intention in quick-casual restaurants: Moderating role of perceived price. Journal Of Hospitality & Tourism Research, 34(3), 310–329. https://doi.org/10.1177/1096348009350624
Thomas, A., & Gupta, V. (2021). Social capital theory, social exchange theory, social cognitive theory, financial literacy, and the role of knowledge sharing as a moderator in enhancing financial well-being: From bibliometric analysis to a conceptual framework model. Frontiers In Psychology, 12. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2021.664638
Vassolo, R. S., Anand, J., & Folta, T. B. (2004). Non-additivity in portfolios of exploration activities: A real options-based analysis of equity alliances in biotechnology. Strategic Management Journal, 25(11), 1045–1061. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.414
Vigoda-Gadot, E., Zalmanovitch, Y., & Belonogov, A. (2012). Public servants’ trust in citizens: An empirical examination with structural equation modeling (SEM). Public Organization Review, 12(4), 383–399. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11115-012-0179-6
Villalonga, B. (2004). Diversification discount or premium? The Journal of Finance, 59(2), 479–501. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00671.x
Wuyts, S., Dutta, S., & Stremersch, S. (2004). Portfolios of interfirm agreements in technology-intensive markets: Consequences for innovation and profitability. Journal Of Marketing, 68(2), 88–100. https://doi.org/10.1509/jmkg.68.2.88.27787
Yi, S., & Komatsu, Y. (2010). Investigation of the maintenance condition in public facilities focus on comparison of the municipalities in Tokyo. Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering, 9(1). https://waseda.elsevierpure.com/en/publications/investigation-of-the-maintenance-condition-in-public-facilities-f/
Zelinskaya, M. V., Mezhlumova, V. R., Boltava, A. L., Tarasova, O. Y., & Gadzheiva, E. Y. (2015). Higher education of Krasnodar Krai: Economic aspects. Mediterranean Journal Of Social Sciences, 6(3). https://doi.org/10.5901/mjss.2015.v6n3s6p225
Zhu, Z., Zhang, J., & Ye, Y. (2013). Newsvendor optimization with limited distribution information. Optimization methods & software, 28(3), 640–667. https://doi.org/10.1080/10556788.2013.768994
Ros, J. A. (2006). Análisis de roles de trabajo en equipo: Un enfoque centrado en comportamientos [Tesis doctoral, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. Repositorio Institucional]. https://www.tdx.cat/bitstream/handle/10803/5449/jarg1de1.pdf
Publicado
2026-01-02
Cómo citar
Llaque Lino, J. L., González Márquez, J. L., Cruz Carrillo, J. P., & Castro Cepeda, L. del R. (2026). Decisiones gerenciales en la gestión pública con enfoque matemático. Revista Venezolana De Gerencia, 31(113), e311135. https://doi.org/10.52080/rvgluz.31.113.5
Número
Sección
EN LA MIRA: Perspectivas gerenciales
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